Midterm elections 2018 predictions3/9/2023 ![]() So many strategists wish he'd be more realistic with his voters - many of whom loathe Congress and are already reluctant to vote in an election where Trump isn't on the ticket. The bottom line: Trump is virtually alone among Republican elected officials in predicting a red wave, but his megaphone is the party's loudest. They really believe it's going to be 2016 all over again." ![]() and hear that a red wave is coming to save the House. We've won all these elections.'"Ī third said: "They watch Hannity. "These will say, 'The same Fake News, Deep State people told me Hillary was going to win and Hillary lost. The President's tweeting 'red wave,' and they watch Fox News," the source said. But instead, Trump is breeding complacency.Īnother of the country's top House operatives told me: Republican strategists want the base to panic so they'll show up to vote.The president is flatly denying what most polls indicate - saying he sees not a blue wave in November, but a giant "red wave." The president tweets out the polls, his media mouthpieces echo them, and his voters feel pacified - and, several top strategists I've interviewed fear, less motivated to show up in November. You better get out to vote.'"īetween the lines: Questionable outlier polls like Rasmussen that favor the president have lulled and reassured Trump’s base. "I would rather Sean Hannity get on TV every night and go, 'Oh my God, Nancy Pelosi could be Speaker and they're going to impeach Trump.They're like, 'Oh, to hell with this crap, we were told Trump wasn't going to win. ![]() "We've seen it in focus groups, with Republican base voters, where you'll come up with a hypothetical that the Democrats win, and people are like, 'That's not going to happen, that's stupid.'."You have Trump-MAGA loyalists, and their friends on Fox, who have reached a point of not believing polls and media people telling them things are going wrong, that I believe is actually causing the Republicans problems," the strategist told me, granted anonymity in order to be candid. What we're hearing: One of those strategists told m e he's detecting something interesting - and concerning - from focus groups of Trump voters. Several top Republican operatives working on the midterm elections told me Trump's fanciful "red wave" predictions could depress Republican turnout and, ironically, serve to make any blue wave even bigger. The president's contempt for mainstream polling and the media may come back to haunt him in November.
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